Russia Survives the Devolution of the World Part I

IF – I am not a conspiracy theorist mind you.  So, what IF the world devolves – you may pick your reason.  The bullion markets fail to deliver.  The banking sector is exposed and crashes along with the inevitable banking “holidays.” The inter-net crashes.  Pandemic hits world wide.  The oil flow is disrupted.  It doesn’t really matter the reason for this trans-continental devolution.  The only country that survives the resultant crash and pandemonia is Russia.

Any of the above will cease all economic life as we know it but, Russia will survive.

Given any of the above reasons for systemic inter-connected global dis-function and devolution, life as we have known it will abruptly change.  Cities will blow apart with the necessary individual search for survival.  Money as we know it will have no value.  Food, clean water, warmth and security will consume every waking moment of everyone’s life in a city that no longer has regularly occurring food shipments.  Infrastructure of water, fuel, electricity, sewage will grind to a halt quickly.   Travel and transportation will cease. This will spark immediate rioting and violence the like that the west has not seen on its territories.   Those smart enough to get out of the cities will be met with fierce resistance from those who reside outside of the cities.  The rural population will not want their own scare resources shared with the hungry and frightened hoards from the cities.  Those escaping the chaos of the cities will be met with the very violence they were seeking to escape.

But, Russia will be spared all of this.

Wait a minute you say.  “What about China?”  “Won’t China survive?”  Anyone with an ear to the flow of news and history knows that China is a powder keg.  Export driven economies are dependent on the flow of trade and currency.  Without this, China begins to see civil strife.  What will the workers do who no longer have the western economies buying their trash and trinkets?  Without employment for the masses, laid off civil strife is guaranteed. Already the central planners have been working overtime to keep peasants occupied.  We know that China has printed at least 5:1 what the western central banks have printed currency wise.  Entire vacant cities have been built to keep “surplus labor” busy and not idle.  Idle able bodied people get angry.  Central planners have issued mountains of debt to fund these “ghost” cities. This debt has been sold to the city dwellers as secure investments for retirement.  This debt has been sold by the very banks who have made these insolvent loans to preferred developers who are now trying desperately to off-shore their windfall to other non-Chinese venues far from the reach of the masses and central planners.  This debt is waiting for its Lehman event.  Already the agrarian citizens are dumping lorries bound for the coastal mega-cities because there is not enough food left for those who have produced it to survive.  The country is cobbled together from various ethnic and language cultures which are only held together by the strong arm of the central committee.  If there is global pandemonium and trade ceases, this powder keg will blow.  Civil war amongst disenfranchised and defrauded populations and varying cultures will  begin slowly and then will increase exponentially with every attempt by the central planners to squelch it.  China will be too preoccupied to pay much attention to the remainder of the world.

The entire northern half of the globe plus Australia and New Zealand will be in flames.  But, Russia will be spared all of this.

No banking systems will exist.  Militaries stranded far from their homeland will be at the mercy of their scant resources and the local resources that will be hoarded by local interests.  Militaries within their homelands will evaporate to protect their next of kin.  Governments will seek in vain to try to keep their military intact to support the government’s self interest.  But, this will be a failing process as more and more military personnel and leadership will resist the urges of the government to squelch the chaos around it.  The governments will be exposed for what they are – impotent parasites on a helpless population.  Without the military, governments do not exist.  Without governments, countries fragment into smaller and smaller tribal/local groups.  This tribal structure will exist for several years until the populations have killed enough of each other and died of the subsequent disease.  Those left will begin to reorganize into larger units like counties and states.  Countries as we know them will be reconfigured into what makes sense for those who have survived.

But, Russia will remain much as it is.

Western countries and many Asian countries will cease to exist all together.  What population that is left will be fragmented and fiercely distrustful of outsiders.  Building relationships and banning together with other survivors will only be facilitated by a more fierce distrust of the only remaining power in the world – Russia.

Now, I do not think this is some grand scheme created or conceived by Russia.  I truly think that one day the above will begin to occur and Russia will find itself with an opportunity that it never dreamed would happen.  Too many variables would have had to have been controlled and too many strings would have needed to be pulled for one group of oligarchs to pull this off.  Russia is merely the beneficiary of the madness of the western oligarchs.

How did Russia get to this beneficial place in history?  Well, mainly by the continued suppression of a population.  A population that has for centuries been under one form of Czar or another.  Call a dictatorial situation by whatever name you may, but this is what has brought them to this place in time.  Its population has been purged and formed to do what it can to survive the harshness of some (Stalin).  It has been trained to not hope for too much nor despair too much by others (Putin).  It is a geography that is large with a population scattered about it.  The population does not, as a whole, travel much.  It is accustomed to making do with what it has with little help from the outside world or its own disconnected citizens.  In a word, it has long been isolated within and without.  This is what will save it.   How so?

Suppose the banks collapse for what ever reason – bullion, debt, inter-net breakdown, pandemic.  It will make no difference to the Russian people.  Sure, some oligarchs will lose billions, but the average Russian will survive.  They have relentlessly survived in harsh conditions without banks.  They don’t bank the way the west does.  They are not a wholly export driven economy as the Chinese are.  They don’t bank daily online as many in the west do.  Besides, the government can easily print enough to handle the banking needs of the seemingly poor masses.

Suppose a pandemic breaks out.  Remember, most Russians do not travel.  The first hint of Ebola or the like will be met with intense lock down and quarantine.  Remember, the Russian population is scattered across a vast continent and this continent is sparsely populated.  A city may find disease at its airport, but the Russian government regularly has cut off travel from a region for numbers of reasons in its history.  The population is used to this.  No big deal to them, but to the west this would be grand travesty leading to civil disobedience and rioting immediately.  Not in Russia.

Disruption in the flow of oil – a non-starter.  Russia has enough of its own.  Sure, lack of exports would bankrupt some oligarchs, but what is that to the masses?  They have not profited from the exports.

Are you beginning to get the picture?  The outside world has little to do with the average Russian serf.  These serfs are completely dependent on their lords for their daily existence.  The lords are mostly dependent on their Czar.  Their Czar is relatively independent on the rest of the world.  The world can go hell and what is that to a Russian?  Perhaps, this will be the only time in the history of the world it will be good to be Russian.

So how will Russia respond?  Glad you asked.  I too wonder!  It could use its military to immediately go in and stake the resources it wants.  It could wait for the world to devolve into a more stable state and then go take what it wants with its military.  It could become a one world government and force its dis-functional form of government on all as it wishes.  It could negotiate trade deals with the survivors, but keep their capitalistic tendencies alive and flourishing to provide for the oligarchs, but away from the homeland.  There are many other possibilities.  Which will it choose?

Part II to follow.

Shi Thead Politicians

The current breed of pol is quite amazing – doesn’t matter which party.  Though, there are a few of  a new breed that might actually care.  Most are of the tribe of the Shi Thead.  Many suffer from Cranial Rectal Inversion – or CRI.  I mean, how hard is for one to step back and see that the more government does the worse our economy grows.  While it is true that some poor individual may not get some deserved service, it is more true that the masses are getting run over by the bureaucratic steam roller.  Who cares about us – the masses, that have to pay under duress, for the steam rolling???  Want more jobs, you tribe of the Shi Thead?  Get started dismantling the BBS and then we might actually be able to plan to bring more people back to work. 

The tribe of the Shi Thead pols can’t seem to look up and see that the more they do the worse it gets.  It is obvious, from a macro-economic view, that the trajectory of the economy is inversely related to the growth in government.  It is really obvious the last three years since the bailout has begun.  All of the promised economic miracles that were promised if the gov to action have failed – miserably.  They have us, the masses, in a hole and demanding that we keep digging.  Which one of us, even from our disadvantaged hole, can’t see that we should stop digging.  Adding more government BBS is not going to get us back on top of a firm economic footing.  All we want is to go to our kid’s soccer games and hit the Big Mac on our way home.  But no, soccer is demeaning to the losing side and a Big Mac is unhealthy.  Do I really need some Pol or Bureaucratic smuck to tell me that the loser feels bad?  Do I need some Pol to tell me that it would be better to eat a healthy meal at home?  Wouldn’t I love to live the Leave It to Beaver life style?  I could if it didn’t take two incomes and then some to pay for all the taxes that the various govs extract from all layers of society.  I would not eat at the Big Mac if I could stay home and cook for my kids.  But at over 50% tax burden on the average family who can???

My husband and I own a small biz.  Lucky us.  Want to trade??  Employees actually ask to be laid off so that they can collect 99 weeks of unemployment.  Who knows what workers comp., unemployment tax, FICA, SUTA, FUTA and now the new Obama Care is going to cost.  We would love to hire more people, but what is it going to cost?  We would love to add new products, but who can navigate the Bureaucratic BS (BBS) to get them approved?  Want more jobs, you tribe of the Shi Thead?  Get started dismantling the BBS and then we might actually be able to plan to bring more people back to work.  While you’re at it, do something about tort reform.  How much time do we waste and how many decisions are based on the likely hood of being sued.  If you are in biz, it is not a question of if, but when.

Yeah, I know, I’m just whining.  The gov is good, I know.  At least that’s what I’m constantly told by all of the PSA’s that the Propaganda Press keeps putting out.  What news media doesn’t constantly remind me of this?  If the Pols and Bcrats want to concern themselves with my self-esteem, quit telling me that to lose a soccer game is bad for my self-image.  Quit telling me we should play and not keep score.  If they are really concerned about my self-esteem, quit telling me that I should do anything, as if I am not smart enough to know what is good for me.  Do they think I am going to start smokin’ dope if it were legalized?  Do they think I am going to ram my head into a brick wall if I don’t have on a helmet while riding my bike to work (because I can’t afford the gas).  I mean, how dumb to the Pols, Bcrats and Damn-do-gooders think I really am.  Get them out of my face and I just might feel better about myself – and for that matter, everyone else.  And besides, if I want to kill my self while on a bicycle smokin’ a joint who’s biz is it of theirs.  I didn’t ask you to take care of me in the first place.  Maybe if you would stop trying to take care of me, I might make better decisions.  But hey, if the net is under the wire, maybe I’ll just go for a spin on the “high” d/rope.

But alas, maybe the pols aren’t of the tribe of the Shi Theads.  Maybe they are right.  Maybe we the masses do need someone to take care of us.  After all, WE KEEP RE-ELECTING THEM.

Your Politician Will Talk to You

This is a repost.  Several friends have asked for this again.  Want your politician responsible to you and not K Street or the Moneyed Interests?  Read on.

Our Constitution (on the federal and state levels) fails to address two fundamental flaws in our Republic:  1)  politicians are beholden to the moneyed interest, and  2)  our politicians have learned Karl Marx’s idea that allows the masses to vote themselves a check from the treasury via these politicians.

Simple to fix if we can find a governor or federal senator with enough character to offer two constitutional amendments.  This will most likely begin at the state level.  With enough states ratifying these amendments maybe our federal politicians will see the light or our governors may have the strength to call for a Constitutional Convention. 

So what do these simple amendments look like?  First – “All politicians may raise campaign funds only from districts they represent and only from individuals within those districts.  They may only serve two terms.”  Second, “Our budgets must be balanced.  The current real level of all spending will be ???? (fill in the number that applies to the state or federal budget).  All spending from all sources will not exceed this number until: a) the budget is balanced, and b) all debt is repaid.  Once all debt is repaid and the budget is in balance from all sources of spending and revenue, then the budget may rise only as much as receipts rise.”

With these simple amendments we the people could once again retain control of our politicians and our profligate political spending.  How much of our political malaise and economic stress would disappear?  If we have the political will to get this done we may avert some horrendous economic and political problems on the horizon.

The Poor We Will Always Have With Us – The Parties Want It That Way

Cicero has given up on the two ruling political parties.  Cicero has left the church – any church – for the same reason.  They want the poor to be always with us.  Have you noticed that there has been only one recent White House administration that has reduced the roles of the poor in our country?  What has the church, any church, done for the poor lately(more later)?  There is a reason the Clintons did not get a second shot at the White House.  After all, if it weren’t for the poor being continually bombarded by the propagandist media (PM), they might actually begin to believe that maybe the government contributes to keeping them poor.  Instead the PM convince the poor that they are poor because someone has made them that way and the government is here to rectify the situation for the poor.  Have the poor ever considered that the more the goverment does the more there is added to their number.  Hello!!!

The middle class is complicit in this in that they are asleep – or worse – too narcisistic to care.  Yet, care they better.  The wealth that is being redistributed is not coming from the rich.  Never has, never will.  Marginal tax rates are a ruse the PM spits out incessantly to muddy the issue.  Rich don’t pay Social Security, Medicare or Medicaid tax.  YOU DO!!  15% of your pay check goes to this every payday on top or your tax rate.  FIGURE IT OUT!!!.  20% Federal Income Tax PLUS 15% FICA, don’t forget state taxes.  Voila, 35% of your pay – you the middle class.  How much do you think the rich or political elite pay?  We know the political elite pay what they want and get away with it.  After all, they control the budget of the IRS.  Want to keep your job, don’t look too close at a politicians tax return.  As for the rich ruling elite – off shore accounts, multiple layers of businesses, lawyers and tax accountants – they pay very little.  All the while the middle class thinks they only pay around 20%.  WAKE UP.  DO THE MATH WITH YOUR NEXT CHECK.  The only wealth being redistributed is yours – the middle class.  You work your -ss off and think the politicians are going to stick it to the rich and that the goverment will take care of the poor.  You, the middle, class are taking care of the poor.  The harder your work, the richer the rich get and the more power you give the pols to make you work even harder with even less pay.

Oh, the conservatives will fix it.  Well, think about that the Repubs had both houses and the presidency for 6 years.  Did the government grow less oppressive?  Of course it did.  Did the numbers of the poor decrease?  Off course not.  Why do you think the mantra of the repubs is reduce TOP marginal tax rates?  How about reducing the 35% the middle class pays?  It is true that the super rich pay most of the personal income tax.  This is indisputable.  But where did they get the wealth in the first place?  From the labor of the middle classs.   Cicero is not a socialist or marxist.  But Cicero is sure as hell against the current marriage of big biz and the government.  Most jobs get created by small businesses and then big biz swoops in and puts small biz out of biz. 

In the Carter Administration banks were allowed to branch across state lines.  What happened to your local banker?  Yep, that’s right, he ain’t around no more.  Who got all the bailout dough?  Hmmm??  Oh, that’s right, the big banks that had gobbled up as many local community banks as the could for the last 30 years.  Do you think there would have been a banking crisis two years ago if Carter had vetoed the act that allowed cross state line branch banking?  Probably not.  Did the big bonuses to bankers go away with all of  the “new” regulation?  They are actually larger.  The new Fin-Reg bill should be called Fin-Rigged.  More fees, higher interest rates, more regulation on small banks they can’t afford while the five lagest banks are reporting near record profits.  The pols all talk about how they want community banks to lend again.  Even comrade Obama is dribbling on about this.  Yet, ask any banker why they are not lending and the answer will be – they don’t have time to talk to their customers because they are answering regulators questions ad naseum.  Ask why small biz is not asking for loans to expand.  The will tell you that the burden of regulatory compliance and the unknown of Obama Care scares the new jobs out of them.  Pols talk the talk and fund the behind the scenes madness of regulatory oppression.  Why??

Glad you asked.  Over regulation drive small biz out of biz and that makes the big boys happy.  More flies for the fat frogs to comsume.  Again, the middle class is becoming the new poor which gives more power to pols.  The pols fund the oppression of the masses to drive the wealth to the rich who already have more than they need.  Check this little fact out – has wealth been spread more evenly across America over the last four decades since LBJ?  No!!  WEALTH HAS BEEN CONCENTRATED AT LEVELS NEVER SEEN IN AMERICA INTO THE HANDS OF THE FEWEST PEOPLE EVER!!!  Get it??  The more regulation we allow the pols to enact, the richer the rich get.  Farms will become corporate, manufacturing will become – oh wait – already is – government/corporate, retail will deminish because the middle class IS deminishing, masses will be concentrated into smaller and smaller geographic areas (don’t want to spoil the view of the rich), simply put – America, the land of the oppressed, the home of the fearful.

As for the Church in America.  Does the world know or care anymore?  What have they done for the poor lately??  Would we have the political morass we are in if the church had done its job??  Shoot Cicero if you would like, but the truth won’t change.

Born to Serve the State

Does anyone remember the phase, “… a citizen is born to serve the State.”  Our country was born by states to serve the citizen.  States were born out of the citizenry’s desire to form a government to facilitate the freedoms of its people.  These States United were born to form a government to facilitate the States’ commerce and protection.  Have we lost the thought that governments do not govern its people, but facilitate peoples freedom.  Government is ancilliary to the People, not primary.  People have the right to change or modify a government that is nolonger suitable to their wishes or purposes.  Current commentary in the press and by politicians treat “Government” as if it was an entity unto itself.  They treat it as if it were primary and citizens were subjects.  I am not advocating revolution or overthrow or any such violent expulsion of government.  What we need is a re-awakening of the primacy of citizenry.  As citizens we have an obligation – yes, that is the correct term, however unpopular – to gather, discuss, call into question, hold accountable those to whom we have entrusted with OUR governance.  We can nolonger sit by, self absorbed, in our daily business while our freedom is being subsumed into some kind of intended governmental primacy.  To do so is to voluntarily hand over ourselves to a life of serfdom.  Many have asked what we can do.  The Tea Party movement is a start in the right direction.  Of late, however, it has allowed infighting and subsumation into the Repulican party to bend its course.  We nolonger can consider ourselves as party affliates of any party.  Party apparatus is two sides of the same coin.  Practically, we need spontaneous civil protest.  Become aware of every little and large issue coming before any political body.  If soccer, your lawn care, recreation, even money is getting in the way of standing up – physically standing in public places where political bodies gather – then we are doomed to allow the fall of what we say is our “beloved” States United.  Forget about waiting for someone to call you to action.  You be the caller to action.  But, I forget, we might have someone not like us.  I reckon then, you will be liked by those to whom you have given your emotional well-being.  Alas, another well liked pawn in a game played without our permission, yet using us as board pieces.

Two Principles for the Republic

Our Constitution (on the federal and state levels) fails to address two fundamental flaws in our Republic:  1)  politicians are beholden to the moneyed interest, and  2)  our politicians have learned Karl Marx’s idea that allows the masses to vote themselves a check from the treasury via these politicians.

Simple to fix if we can find a governor or federal senator with enough character to offer two constitutional amendments.  This will most likely begin at the state level.  With enough states ratifying these amendments maybe our federal politicians will see the light or our governors may have the strength to call for a Constitutional Convention. 

So what do these simple amendments look like?  First – “All politicians may raise campaign funds only from districts they represent and only from individuals within those districts.  They may only serve two terms.”  Second, “Our budgets must be balanced.  The current real level of all spending will be ???? (fill in the number that applies to the state or federal budget).  All spending from all sources will not exceed this number until: a) the budget is balanced, and b) all debt is repaid.  Once all debt is repaid and the budget is in balance from all sources of spending and revenue, then the budget may rise only as much as receipts rise.”

With these simple amendments we the people could once again retain control of our politicians and our profligate political spending.  How much of our political malaise and economic stress would disappear?  If we have the political will to get this done we may avert some horrendous economic and political problems on the horizon.

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